Use a dot for decimals and separate shots with commas or spaces. The starting values are an example, not a real match.
How it works
Each shot's xG is treated as its chance of going in. The calculator combines every shot to get the exact probability of each scoreline — no random simulation — and adds those up into wins, draws and defeats.
- It assumes shots are independent. In a real match a goal changes how both teams play, and a rebound straight after a save is not a fresh, independent chance. Treat the result as a guide to how deserved a scoreline was, not a verdict.
- Penalties are usually given a fixed xG of about 0.76–0.79, depending on the data provider.
- Use one provider's numbers for both teams: different xG models give different values for the same shot.
New to xG? Read How to Read Football Stats: xG, xA and PPDA.